Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Evans 52.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Gaudette leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 74.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Gaudette
Evans
Last 10: Gaudette 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
4
1
Gaudette
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
7
8
Gaudette
Evans
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
53.8% (3,695)
-10.1%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
60.0% (70)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.1% (1,222)
-0.4%
On power play, Evans has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
45.9% (912)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
41.9% (754)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
44.4%
54.0%
P2
46.5%
50.9%
P3
41.1%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |