Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.0% vs Evans 50.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 58.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudette
Evans
Last 7: Gaudette 4-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Gaudette
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Gaudette
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (94)
52.2% (320)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On power play, Evans has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
42.6% (61)
54.3% (223)
Away
42.9% (63)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
41.0%
53.9%
P2
45.7%
44.9%
P3
41.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |