Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 59.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 63.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Gaudette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudette
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
56.1% (955)
-10.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
66.9% (142)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.0% (242)
+7.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Staal
Home
48.4% (91)
55.4% (663)
Away
47.4% (133)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Gaudette
Staal
P1
45.2%
55.1%
P2
51.9%
54.7%
P3
45.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |