Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 47.3% vs Staal 55.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 63.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 50.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 60.3%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Gaudette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudette
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (128)
57.2% (740)
-15.0%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
67.0% (88)
-7.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudette is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Gaudette shoots right. Staal is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Staal
Home
43.3% (67)
55.4% (518)
Away
47.3% (93)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Gaudette
Staal
P1
43.9%
53.6%
P2
48.1%
56.6%
P3
45.1%
55.7%
Final 5 min
34.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
45.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |