Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 88.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 82.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Gaudette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Gaudette
Staal
Last 10: Gaudette 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Gaudette
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Gaudette
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
55.9% (14,620)
-12.2%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
62.7% (1,745)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
48.0% (2,896)
-1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Staal
Home
45.9% (912)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
41.9% (754)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Gaudette
Staal
P1
44.4%
55.2%
P2
46.5%
55.9%
P3
41.1%
54.9%
OT
100.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |