Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Staal 54.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 86.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 75.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Gaudette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudette
Staal
Last 5: Gaudette 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Gaudette
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Gaudette
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
54.2% (943)
-13.2%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
69.6% (79)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.8% (262)
-7.9%
On power play, Staal has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Staal
Home
46.0% (250)
55.0% (593)
Away
35.3% (204)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Gaudette
Staal
P1
40.8%
54.3%
P2
42.8%
53.5%
P3
39.7%
55.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
41.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |