Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Hayes 42.7% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 57.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Gaudette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
31.9% (91)
+13.8%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
64.3% (14)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hayes
Home
48.4% (91)
30.6% (49)
Away
47.4% (133)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Gaudette
Hayes
P1
45.2%
22.9%
P2
51.9%
40.0%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |