Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 47.3% vs Hayes 44.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 52.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Gaudette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (128)
33.3% (81)
+8.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
64.3% (14)
-4.9%
On even strength, Gaudette has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudette is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Gaudette shoots right. Hayes is 32.6% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hayes
Home
43.3% (67)
30.6% (49)
Away
47.3% (93)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Gaudette
Hayes
P1
43.9%
24.2%
P2
48.1%
43.8%
P3
45.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
34.6%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
45.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |