Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 68.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Gaudette
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
61.2% (340)
-15.5%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
83.3% (6)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
56.0% (141)
-6.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kastelic
Home
48.4% (91)
60.9% (233)
Away
47.4% (133)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Gaudette
Kastelic
P1
45.2%
58.6%
P2
51.9%
58.7%
P3
45.9%
63.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |