Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 57.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 66.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Gaudette
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudette
Kastelic
Last 5: Gaudette 1-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Gaudette
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Gaudette
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
55.4% (345)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (4)
+8.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kastelic
Home
54.4% (206)
50.6% (162)
Away
44.4% (144)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Gaudette
Kastelic
P1
49.2%
61.5%
P2
50.4%
52.8%
P3
51.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |