Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Carrick 53.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 92.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 54.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 74.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Gaudette
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Gaudette
Carrick
Last 5: Gaudette 0-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Gaudette
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Gaudette
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
53.8% (654)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
0.0% (2)
+58.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Carrick
Home
54.4% (206)
50.0% (328)
Away
44.4% (144)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Gaudette
Carrick
P1
49.2%
56.7%
P2
50.4%
51.1%
P3
51.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |