Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Carrick 52.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 85.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 58.2%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Gaudette
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Gaudette
Carrick
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Gaudette
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
52.1% (2,513)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
61.3% (75)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
50.7% (430)
-4.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Carrick
Home
45.9% (912)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
41.9% (754)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Gaudette
Carrick
P1
44.4%
51.8%
P2
46.5%
52.2%
P3
41.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |