Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 55.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 70.9%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Gaudette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudette
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Gaudette
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Gaudette
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
55.3% (515)
-5.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
55.6% (9)
+2.7%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kuraly
Home
54.4% (206)
57.3% (293)
Away
44.4% (144)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Gaudette
Kuraly
P1
49.2%
53.8%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
51.6%
57.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |