Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 98.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 79.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 86.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Gaudette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Gaudette
Kuraly
Last 10: Gaudette 1-9 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Gaudette
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Gaudette
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Gaudette
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
51.5% (5,141)
-7.8%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
56.0% (100)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kuraly
Home
45.9% (912)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
41.9% (754)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Gaudette
Kuraly
P1
44.4%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
49.9%
P3
41.1%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |