Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Howden 50.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 80.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 64.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Henrique
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
Howden
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
50.4% (381)
+5.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
55.6% (18)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
48.3% (29)
+2.5%
On power play, Howden has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Henrique
Howden
Home
53.5% (215)
47.7% (195)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.8% (233)
By Period
Henrique
Howden
P1
57.7%
51.1%
P2
53.8%
52.6%
P3
51.6%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Brett Howden |