Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Howden 52.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Henrique
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Howden
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Howden
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
53.4% (459)
+4.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
40.0% (5)
+33.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
48.1% (52)
-2.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Henrique
Howden
Home
56.4% (518)
48.8% (258)
Away
54.9% (492)
56.6% (258)
By Period
Henrique
Howden
P1
56.0%
54.0%
P2
55.2%
53.2%
P3
56.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |