Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Howden 46.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 51.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Henrique
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
47.3% (330)
+8.1%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
22.2% (9)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
25.9% (27)
+21.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Henrique
Howden
Home
56.4% (553)
44.3% (176)
Away
50.0% (530)
45.8% (190)
By Period
Henrique
Howden
P1
51.7%
43.1%
P2
55.5%
43.1%
P3
52.5%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Brett Howden |