Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.9%). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Stepan 54.8% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Henrique
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
54.5% (374)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
0.0% (2)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
64.7% (68)
-18.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stepan
Home
55.3% (237)
54.5% (222)
Away
55.8% (260)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Henrique
Stepan
P1
53.5%
57.5%
P2
64.8%
54.7%
P3
47.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%