Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Stepan 53.4% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Henrique
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
55.3% (358)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
0.0% (3)
+58.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
50.8% (61)
-8.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stepan
Home
53.1% (339)
57.7% (213)
Away
49.1% (330)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Henrique
Stepan
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
54.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%