Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.3%). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Lindholm 53.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Henrique
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
53.5% (555)
+1.9%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
61.1% (113)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
49.2% (61)
+5.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Henrique shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lindholm
Home
53.2% (173)
55.5% (431)
Away
55.9% (256)
52.7% (298)
By Period
Henrique
Lindholm
P1
58.9%
52.3%
P2
54.9%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
56.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |