Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 62.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Henrique
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Lindholm
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Lindholm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Henrique
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Henrique
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
57.7% (1,124)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
52.9% (155)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
48.6% (259)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lindholm
Home
53.1% (339)
55.7% (760)
Away
49.1% (330)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Henrique
Lindholm
P1
48.5%
53.7%
P2
48.6%
58.3%
P3
54.2%
55.1%
OT
70.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |