Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 81.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Henrique
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
54.4% (722)
+1.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
62.2% (164)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
49.4% (83)
+1.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lindholm
Home
53.5% (215)
55.8% (541)
Away
55.2% (306)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Henrique
Lindholm
P1
57.7%
54.8%
P2
53.8%
55.7%
P3
51.6%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |