Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Lindholm 49.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Henrique
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Lindholm
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
4
Henrique
Lindholm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Henrique
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
47.2% (305)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
59.8% (102)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
29.6% (27)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Lindholm is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lindholm
Home
46.9% (680)
48.5% (198)
Away
42.5% (701)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Henrique
Lindholm
P1
43.0%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
51.6%
P3
46.2%
44.1%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
44.7%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |