Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Staal 52.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Staal
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
52.0% (1,126)
-8.2%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
56.5% (239)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
50.8% (65)
-3.5%
On power play, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
45.3% (422)
56.7% (727)
Away
43.5% (496)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
44.3%
50.9%
P2
44.1%
54.7%
P3
45.5%
51.9%
OT
26.7%
60.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Eric Staal |