Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Staal 46.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 89.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 58.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 65.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Staal
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
49.6% (565)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
35.0% (20)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
35.4% (158)
+7.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
53.1% (339)
46.1% (380)
Away
49.1% (330)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
48.5%
45.7%
P2
48.6%
46.2%
P3
54.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |