Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Staal 50.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 40-36 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 64.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
36
(76 meetings)
40
36
Henrique
Staal
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
11
Henrique
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
8
Henrique
Staal
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
15
17
Henrique
Staal
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
50.5% (10,347)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
53.5% (2,023)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
44.2% (781)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
50.6%
50.0%
P2
51.4%
51.1%
P3
50.2%
50.4%
OT
40.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |