Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Staal 49.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Staal
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
49.6% (779)
+3.9%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
49.7% (179)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
48.8% (41)
+2.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
57.4% (467)
52.0% (542)
Away
52.7% (463)
46.6% (457)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
55.4%
44.2%
P2
56.7%
50.3%
P3
54.0%
52.9%
OT
22.2%
68.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |