Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Guentzel 47.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 90.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 63.3%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Henrique
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Guentzel
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
49.0% (200)
+7.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
42.3% (111)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
45.8% (24)
+5.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Henrique
Guentzel
Home
53.5% (215)
48.8% (166)
Away
55.2% (306)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Henrique
Guentzel
P1
57.7%
46.7%
P2
53.8%
48.5%
P3
51.6%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |