Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 79.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 84.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Henrique
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
46.1% (256)
+11.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
47.5% (122)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
16.7% (6)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Henrique
Guentzel
Home
56.4% (518)
49.3% (201)
Away
54.9% (492)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Henrique
Guentzel
P1
56.0%
49.6%
P2
55.2%
45.6%
P3
56.2%
41.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |