Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 80.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.1%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Henrique
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Henrique
Guentzel
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
4
Henrique
Guentzel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Guentzel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
3
Henrique
Guentzel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
46.3% (685)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
45.7% (291)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
42.9% (42)
+3.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Henrique
Guentzel
Home
52.5% (6,418)
48.3% (544)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Henrique
Guentzel
P1
50.6%
47.8%
P2
51.4%
45.2%
P3
50.2%
45.3%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |