Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Spezza 53.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 68.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Henrique
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Henrique
Spezza
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Henrique
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Henrique
Spezza
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Henrique
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
53.8% (1,283)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
52.8% (303)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
49.4% (89)
+1.8%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Henrique is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Henrique shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spezza
Home
51.2% (461)
56.4% (853)
Away
46.9% (565)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Henrique
Spezza
P1
49.5%
53.4%
P2
48.5%
54.2%
P3
49.1%
53.4%
OT
22.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2011 | OT | 03:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |