Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 53-27 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 77.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Henrique
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
53
(80 meetings)
27
53
Henrique
Spezza
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
22
Henrique
Spezza
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
13
17
Henrique
Spezza
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
14
Henrique
Spezza
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
56.8% (1,726)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
52.7% (643)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spezza
Home
52.5% (6,418)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Henrique
Spezza
P1
50.6%
55.7%
P2
51.4%
54.4%
P3
50.2%
54.1%
OT
40.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |