Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Spezza 52.4% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Henrique
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
53.7% (451)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
54.3% (92)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
38.2% (34)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spezza
Home
55.3% (237)
55.0% (282)
Away
55.8% (260)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Henrique
Spezza
P1
53.5%
53.1%
P2
64.8%
53.2%
P3
47.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%