Adam Henrique vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Pageau 58.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 83.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Henrique
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Pageau
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
59.6% (711)
-2.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
64.0% (114)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
56.4% (163)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pageau
Home
56.4% (518)
59.3% (506)
Away
54.9% (492)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Henrique
Pageau
P1
56.0%
56.8%
P2
55.2%
64.4%
P3
56.2%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |