Adam Henrique vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Pageau 58.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 67.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Henrique
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Henrique
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
59.1% (687)
-3.0%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
69.4% (36)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
60.1% (213)
-9.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pageau
Home
53.5% (215)
57.8% (377)
Away
55.2% (306)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Henrique
Pageau
P1
57.7%
54.1%
P2
53.8%
62.1%
P3
51.6%
61.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |