Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Toews 56.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 80.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 82.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 82.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Henrique
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Henrique
Toews
Last 9: Henrique 2-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Henrique
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Henrique
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
55.9% (1,143)
-12.1%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
65.1% (304)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
48.5% (97)
-1.2%
On power play, Toews has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Henrique
Toews
Home
45.3% (422)
61.7% (810)
Away
43.5% (496)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Henrique
Toews
P1
44.3%
56.0%
P2
44.1%
56.9%
P3
45.5%
59.3%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |