Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Toews 58.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 84.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 74.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Henrique
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Henrique
Toews
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Henrique
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Henrique
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Henrique
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
58.0% (901)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
69.5% (226)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
51.7% (209)
-5.5%
On power play, Toews has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Henrique
Toews
Home
55.3% (237)
59.3% (637)
Away
55.8% (260)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Henrique
Toews
P1
53.5%
61.5%
P2
64.8%
55.2%
P3
47.3%
60.0%
OT
58.3%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |