Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Toews 59.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Henrique
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Toews
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Henrique
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
63.4% (555)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
54.1% (109)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
46.7% (30)
+7.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Henrique
Toews
Home
53.2% (173)
59.6% (329)
Away
55.9% (256)
62.7% (365)
By Period
Henrique
Toews
P1
58.9%
62.2%
P2
54.9%
64.7%
P3
50.0%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |