Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Norris 51.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 59.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Henrique
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Henrique
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
52.2% (542)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
54.4% (57)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
46.7% (30)
+0.8%
On power play, Norris has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Henrique
Norris
Home
56.4% (553)
50.7% (351)
Away
50.0% (530)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Henrique
Norris
P1
51.7%
55.6%
P2
55.5%
49.3%
P3
52.5%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Josh Norris |