Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Norris 53.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 62.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Henrique
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Norris
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Henrique
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Henrique
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
53.6% (560)
+3.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
56.0% (109)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
53.1% (98)
-7.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Henrique
Norris
Home
56.4% (518)
53.6% (373)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Henrique
Norris
P1
56.0%
61.8%
P2
55.2%
51.7%
P3
56.2%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Josh Norris |