Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Barzal 42.9% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 64.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 60.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Henrique
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Barzal
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Henrique
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Henrique
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
40.7% (514)
+12.8%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
58.3% (24)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
50.0% (10)
+0.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barzal
Home
57.4% (467)
43.0% (279)
Away
52.7% (463)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Henrique
Barzal
P1
55.4%
41.2%
P2
56.7%
46.4%
P3
54.0%
37.1%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |