Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Barzal 46.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Henrique
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Henrique
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
46.6% (483)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
40.9% (22)
+18.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barzal
Home
55.3% (237)
49.6% (242)
Away
55.8% (260)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Henrique
Barzal
P1
53.5%
42.4%
P2
64.8%
49.5%
P3
47.3%
47.7%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |