Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Barzal 41.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 95.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 92.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Henrique
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
40.4% (463)
+15.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
34.2% (38)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
28.6% (7)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barzal
Home
53.5% (215)
38.1% (244)
Away
55.2% (306)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Henrique
Barzal
P1
57.7%
46.6%
P2
53.8%
35.7%
P3
51.6%
37.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |