Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
53.4% (770)
+2.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
46.2% (39)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
44.7% (141)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
53.5% (215)
49.0% (429)
Away
55.2% (306)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
57.7%
53.0%
P2
53.8%
51.1%
P3
51.6%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |