Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
4
Henrique
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
50.9% (913)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
59.0% (39)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
37.5% (160)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
56.4% (553)
51.1% (536)
Away
50.0% (530)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
51.7%
50.1%
P2
55.5%
47.3%
P3
52.5%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |