Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Henrique
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.9% (870)
+4.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
53.5% (43)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
46.2% (143)
-0.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
56.4% (518)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.9% (492)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
56.0%
57.5%
P2
55.2%
50.7%
P3
56.2%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |