Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 73.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Henrique
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Henrique
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
46.7% (285)
+4.2%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
45.6% (57)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
0.0% (1)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
49.4% (326)
45.4% (163)
Away
48.6% (354)
47.2% (180)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
50.2%
43.7%
P2
53.4%
48.6%
P3
44.2%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | OT | 01:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 25, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |