Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 79.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 6: Henrique 5-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
49.5% (1,211)
+3.4%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
52.8% (214)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
47.4% (247)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
55.3% (571)
52.8% (825)
Away
49.8% (512)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
53.3%
50.8%
P2
52.4%
46.5%
P3
52.4%
52.0%
OT
53.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |