Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.8%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Henrique
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Rantanen
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Henrique
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.7% (346)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
58.5% (164)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
0.0% (1)
+47.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rantanen
Home
56.4% (553)
55.8% (258)
Away
50.0% (530)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Henrique
Rantanen
P1
51.7%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
56.6%
P3
52.5%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |