Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Rantanen 52.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.0%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 54.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Henrique
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Henrique
Rantanen
Last 8: Henrique 4-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
3
Henrique
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.3% (188)
+2.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
46.3% (67)
+26.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rantanen
Home
56.4% (518)
57.3% (143)
Away
54.9% (492)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Henrique
Rantanen
P1
56.0%
47.8%
P2
55.2%
56.8%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |