Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.0%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 53 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 64-55 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Henrique
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
55
(119 meetings)
64
55
Henrique
Bonino
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
36
17
Henrique
Bonino
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
9
24
Henrique
Bonino
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
19
14
Henrique
Bonino
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
54.1% (972)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bonino
Home
52.5% (6,376)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Henrique
Bonino
P1
50.6%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
48.5%
P3
50.2%
51.1%
OT
40.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |